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Jeff Beamsley's avatar

The Gaetz pick is really interesting.

I think people sometimes seriously underestimate that power of Trump's lizard brain.

I think he understands that he is at PEAK power right now because he has all of these government jobs to hand out. But his political power will begin to wane as every elected official begins thinking about the inevitable reconning coming in 2026 AND the fact that Trump won't be on the ballot in 2028.

Thune winning the secret ballot for Majority leader was huge. McConnell still runs that show in part because he has a huge pot of money that he can use to reward those who stick with him and punish those that don't. Cruz, for example, complained bitterly that McConnell didn't "spend a dime" in Texas. Yup, McConnell made him an example of what happens to those who step out of line.

So Trump has tossed down the gauntlet with the Matt Gaetz nomination and will use that to test the level of support that he really has in the Senate. If the Senate refuses to give up their power to review appointments, then the Gaetz confirmation process will be a CIRCUS. And Trump will be able to use that circus to support his claim that his agenda in being blocked by McConnell. How that fight turns out will likely lay the foundation for how the next two years are going to go.

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Bill Alstrom (MA/Maine/MA)'s avatar

Great letter, Dave.

I have hope. I really do believe in karma. Sometimes, too often, it just takes too long.

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